David Lewin Archive
David Lewin is a 19 year-old college sophomore from Wayland, Massachusetts. He currently attends Macalester College in St. Paul, Minnesota where he plays football. He has contributed research and articles to 82games.com, Pro Football Prospectus 2006, and FootballOutsiders.com. A compilation of his work is found below.
NBA Articles and Research
January 2007: Adjusted Plus-Minus statistics for the 2005-2006 season. Discusses the methodology, its flaws, and some specific players.
February 2007: Adjusted Plus-Minus statistics for the 2004-2005 season. Also includes combined numbers for 2004-2006.
June 2006: The True Height Index. Ever wonder how teams missed Ben Wallace? This article creates a new number that gives guys like Ben Wallace credit for playing taller than they are due to their long arms and athleticism. Pretty simple method, but surprisingly useful.
NFL Articles and Research
Pro Football Prospectus 2006
Workman Publishing, August 2006
Projecting Rookie Quarterbacks: A comprehensive look at the data and methodology that went into the creation of the college quarterback projection system. Detailed analysis of the first and second round quarterbacks of the last ten years and what they can tell us going forward.
Is Steve McNair a Hall of Famer?: The short answer is no. This article gives the longer answer to the title question by era-adjusting Hall of Fame quarterback stats and comparing them to hopefuls like McNair.
March 2006: The one that started it all you could say; the original quarterback projection article. Evaluates the first round quarterbacks of the 2006 NFL draft (Vince Young, Matt Leinart, Jay Cutler) from both a statistical and scouting standpoint.
July 2006: Uses an improved version of the McNair Hall of Fame article to look at Ken Anderson. Anderson’s exclusion from the Hall is shown to be statistically absurd.
November 2006: The quarterback projection system revisited. Compares quarterbacks’ projected performance for the first half of the 2006 NFL season with what actually happened; looks ahead at Jason Campbell’s first start.
View David Lewin's resume (in Word format)