2005-06 NBA Fair Salary Ratings
As we evolve away from the "Roland Ratings" one goal has been to scale player performance in terms of a "fair salary" or "salary dollars earned". We will still keep elements such as 1) Inividual player production, 2) One-on-one defense, and 3) Team success influence in the mix. However you also need to factor in minutes played!
If two players produce equal positive overall production, but one played twice as many minutes over the course of the season, clearly the player out there more is worth a lot more to his team! So while Yao Ming and Shaq were very productive when they played, since they were on court for less than half the team minutes, their "earnings" leave them out of the top twenty.
These ratings are still in development, and one key point is that we will also include playoff earnings in the final tally, so Garnett and Iverson will likely drop down some, while others on teams that go deep in the post-season will pass them up. Here's an initial look then:
The table below shows the top players for the 2005-06 regular season:
(Playoff performance will be added into final "fair salary" calculations)
|
PER Difference |
On Court/Off Court |
Roland |
Salary ($Mil) |
| Rk |
Player |
Tm |
Min |
PER |
Opp |
Net |
On |
Off |
Net |
Rating |
Fair |
Actual |
| 1 |
James |
CLE |
85% |
30.2 |
12.6 |
+17.5 |
+3.9 |
-7.2 |
+11.0 |
+15.3 |
$27.39 |
$4.60 |
| 2 |
Bryant |
LAL |
83% |
30.0 |
14.1 |
+15.8 |
+4.8 |
-7.9 |
+12.7 |
+14.8 |
$26.09 |
$15.90 |
| 3 |
Wade |
MIA |
73% |
29.8 |
14.6 |
+15.2 |
+8.1 |
-7.7 |
+15.8 |
+15.4 |
$23.64 |
$3.00 |
| 4 |
Brand |
LAC |
78% |
28.6 |
13.4 |
+15.2 |
+2.9 |
-3.1 |
+6.0 |
+12.1 |
$21.17 |
$13.10 |
| 5 |
Garnett |
MIN |
75% |
28.8 |
14.8 |
+14.1 |
+0.6 |
-9.1 |
+9.7 |
+12.6 |
$20.95 |
$18.00 |
| 6 |
Nowitzki |
DAL |
78% |
30.1 |
17.0 |
+13.2 |
+7.9 |
-0.6 |
+8.5 |
+11.6 |
$20.55 |
$13.80 |
| 7 |
Iverson |
PHI |
78% |
27.8 |
14.7 |
+13.0 |
+0.0 |
-8.6 |
+8.6 |
+11.6 |
$20.55 |
$16.50 |
| 8 |
Billups |
DET |
74% |
25.0 |
12.9 |
+12.1 |
+9.6 |
-1.9 |
+11.5 |
+11.9 |
$19.85 |
$5.90 |
| 9 |
Carter |
NJN |
73% |
23.3 |
13.4 |
+9.9 |
+5.4 |
-10.1 |
+15.5 |
+11.8 |
$19.47 |
$13.80 |
| 10 |
Redd |
MIL |
79% |
22.7 |
12.4 |
+10.2 |
+1.2 |
-9.6 |
+10.8 |
+10.4 |
$19.31 |
$12.00 |
| 11 |
Allen |
SEA |
76% |
23.8 |
13.9 |
+9.8 |
-0.8 |
-10.1 |
+9.2 |
+9.6 |
$17.61 |
$13.20 |
| 12 |
Pierce |
BOS |
78% |
25.4 |
13.6 |
+11.7 |
-0.9 |
-3.5 |
+2.6 |
+8.7 |
$16.96 |
$13.80 |
| 13 |
Jefferson |
NJN |
77% |
20.5 |
12.9 |
+7.6 |
+3.8 |
-7.3 |
+11.1 |
+8.8 |
$16.87 |
$10.20 |
| 14 |
Duncan |
SAS |
70% |
24.9 |
13.7 |
+11.2 |
+9.0 |
+1.6 |
+7.3 |
+9.9 |
$16.56 |
$15.80 |
| 15 |
Arenas |
WAS |
85% |
25.4 |
18.6 |
+6.8 |
+2.9 |
-4.2 |
+7.1 |
+6.9 |
$16.06 |
$10.20 |
| 16 |
Gasol |
MEM |
79% |
24.3 |
15.1 |
+9.2 |
+4.7 |
+0.0 |
+4.7 |
+7.7 |
$15.93 |
$11.00 |
| 17 |
Prince |
DET |
73% |
15.9 |
11.9 |
+4.0 |
+10.7 |
-4.6 |
+15.3 |
+7.7 |
$15.92 |
$1.80 |
| 18 |
Nash |
PHO |
70% |
24.6 |
15.3 |
+9.3 |
+8.1 |
-0.7 |
+8.8 |
+9.1 |
$15.67 |
$9.60 |
| 19 |
Kirilenko |
UTA |
66% |
22.0 |
12.2 |
+9.8 |
+0.8 |
-9.0 |
+9.8 |
+9.8 |
$15.50 |
$11.00 |
| 20 |
Marion |
PHO |
82% |
25.1 |
16.5 |
+8.6 |
+6.1 |
+2.7 |
+3.4 |
+6.9 |
$15.49 |
$13.70 |
| 21 |
Jamison |
WAS |
83% |
19.2 |
14.4 |
+4.8 |
+3.6 |
-6.4 |
+9.9 |
+6.5 |
$15.15 |
$13.80 |
| 22 |
Kidd |
NJN |
75% |
20.8 |
16.5 |
+4.3 |
+4.3 |
-7.8 |
+12.1 |
+6.9 |
$14.58 |
$16.40 |
| 23 |
Bosh |
TOR |
69% |
24.5 |
15.4 |
+9.1 |
-1.0 |
-7.4 |
+6.4 |
+8.2 |
$14.46 |
$3.30 |
| 24 |
B.Wallace |
DET |
73% |
18.7 |
14.5 |
+4.3 |
+10.0 |
-2.4 |
+12.3 |
+6.9 |
$14.26 |
$7.50 |
| 25 |
Parker |
SAS |
69% |
22.3 |
14.3 |
+8.0 |
+9.1 |
+1.8 |
+7.2 |
+7.7 |
$13.91 |
$8.40 |
| 26 |
Richardson |
GSW |
73% |
20.6 |
13.9 |
+6.7 |
+0.8 |
-6.9 |
+7.6 |
+7.0 |
$13.90 |
$8.90 |
| 27 |
Ming |
HOU |
49% |
27.5 |
12.5 |
+15.0 |
+2.1 |
-5.2 |
+7.3 |
+12.5 |
$13.61 |
$5.60 |
| 28 |
R.Wallace |
DET |
70% |
19.0 |
16.5 |
+2.5 |
+10.6 |
-2.8 |
+13.4 |
+6.1 |
$13.59 |
$10.90 |
| 29 |
Anthony |
DEN |
74% |
23.5 |
14.1 |
+9.3 |
+0.2 |
+0.7 |
-0.5 |
+6.1 |
$13.04 |
$3.70 |
| 30 |
O'Neal |
MIA |
46% |
26.2 |
12.0 |
+14.1 |
+7.3 |
+1.0 |
+6.4 |
+11.6 |
$12.12 |
$20.00 |
| 31 |
Odom |
LAL |
81% |
18.2 |
14.4 |
+3.8 |
+3.6 |
-2.0 |
+5.6 |
+4.4 |
$12.09 |
$11.50 |
| 32 |
Terry |
DAL |
70% |
19.7 |
14.8 |
+4.9 |
+8.1 |
+0.9 |
+7.2 |
+5.7 |
$11.89 |
$6.70 |
| 33 |
Diaw |
PHO |
72% |
18.3 |
15.7 |
+2.5 |
+8.2 |
-1.5 |
+9.6 |
+4.9 |
$11.78 |
$1.10 |
| 34 |
Hamilton |
DET |
71% |
19.4 |
15.2 |
+4.2 |
+8.8 |
+1.1 |
+7.7 |
+5.4 |
$11.72 |
$8.60 |
| 35 |
Miller |
SAC |
74% |
18.7 |
16.7 |
+2.1 |
+3.8 |
-4.8 |
+8.5 |
+4.2 |
$11.23 |
$8.80 |
| 36 |
Ilgauskas |
CLE |
58% |
23.2 |
14.3 |
+8.8 |
+3.9 |
-0.1 |
+4.0 |
+7.2 |
$11.23 |
$8.70 |
| 37 |
Howard |
ORL |
76% |
20.7 |
17.6 |
+3.1 |
+0.3 |
-5.7 |
+6.0 |
+4.1 |
$10.98 |
$4.50 |
| 38 |
Cassell |
LAC |
67% |
20.0 |
15.7 |
+4.2 |
+4.1 |
-3.5 |
+7.6 |
+5.3 |
$10.95 |
$6.90 |
| 39 |
Ginobili |
SAS |
46% |
24.1 |
12.7 |
+11.3 |
+10.8 |
+3.4 |
+7.4 |
+10.0 |
$10.95 |
$7.40 |
| 40 |
Iguodala |
PHI |
77% |
16.0 |
15.7 |
+0.2 |
+0.0 |
-8.4 |
+8.4 |
+3.0 |
$10.83 |
$2.10 |
| 41 |
Paul |
NOK |
71% |
23.7 |
16.3 |
+7.4 |
-3.1 |
-2.1 |
-1.0 |
+4.6 |
$10.82 |
$3.10 |
| 42 |
Okur |
UTA |
74% |
20.4 |
15.7 |
+4.7 |
-1.8 |
-4.8 |
+2.9 |
+4.1 |
$10.69 |
$8.30 |
| 43 |
Battier |
MEM |
72% |
15.7 |
14.6 |
+1.1 |
+6.1 |
-2.4 |
+8.5 |
+3.6 |
$10.54 |
$4.90 |
| 44 |
James |
TOR |
73% |
21.0 |
17.4 |
+3.6 |
-2.3 |
-4.9 |
+2.7 |
+3.3 |
$9.62 |
$3.40 |
| 45 |
Deng |
CHI |
65% |
17.0 |
12.5 |
+4.5 |
+2.0 |
-1.9 |
+3.9 |
+4.3 |
$9.60 |
$2.40 |
| 46 |
Miller |
DEN |
74% |
17.4 |
17.5 |
+0.0 |
+2.2 |
-4.9 |
+7.2 |
+2.4 |
$9.55 |
$8.10 |
| 47 |
Krstic |
NJN |
62% |
15.5 |
15.7 |
-0.2 |
+5.2 |
-5.2 |
+10.4 |
+3.3 |
$9.53 |
$1.00 |
| 48 |
McGrady |
HOU |
44% |
23.7 |
14.2 |
+9.6 |
+1.7 |
-4.2 |
+5.9 |
+8.4 |
$9.36 |
$15.70 |
| 49 |
Bibby |
SAC |
80% |
19.2 |
17.2 |
+2.0 |
+2.0 |
-0.5 |
+2.5 |
+2.1 |
$9.02 |
$11.50 |
| 50 |
Wallace |
CHA |
48% |
22.6 |
15.0 |
+7.6 |
-1.5 |
-6.1 |
+4.6 |
+6.6 |
$8.84 |
$5.00 |
| 51 |
Howard |
DAL |
48% |
20.8 |
13.2 |
+7.6 |
+7.9 |
+4.2 |
+3.6 |
+6.3 |
$8.61 |
$0.90 |
| 52 |
E.Jones |
MEM |
61% |
15.8 |
14.5 |
+1.3 |
+6.3 |
-0.5 |
+6.8 |
+3.1 |
$8.12 |
$14.60 |
| 53 |
Lewis |
SEA |
73% |
21.4 |
17.9 |
+3.5 |
-3.3 |
-2.2 |
-1.1 |
+1.9 |
$8.00 |
$8.60 |
| 54 |
Butler |
WAS |
68% |
18.3 |
15.2 |
+3.1 |
+2.1 |
+1.3 |
+0.8 |
+2.3 |
$7.88 |
$2.50 |
| 55 |
West |
BOS |
61% |
16.1 |
15.6 |
+0.5 |
+1.1 |
-5.5 |
+6.6 |
+2.5 |
$7.73 |
$1.00 |
| 56 |
Mobley |
LAC |
75% |
14.2 |
12.8 |
+1.4 |
+1.9 |
+0.5 |
+1.4 |
+1.4 |
$7.62 |
$7.20 |
| 57 |
Camby |
DEN |
47% |
21.4 |
14.3 |
+7.1 |
+1.0 |
-0.3 |
+1.3 |
+5.2 |
$7.61 |
$9.20 |
| 58 |
O'Neal |
IND |
46% |
22.0 |
14.9 |
+7.2 |
+2.8 |
+1.1 |
+1.7 |
+5.3 |
$7.52 |
$16.40 |
| 59 |
Claxton |
NOK |
51% |
17.3 |
15.2 |
+2.2 |
+1.0 |
-6.8 |
+7.8 |
+4.0 |
$7.46 |
$3.60 |
| 60 |
Mourning |
MIA |
33% |
20.8 |
10.6 |
+10.2 |
+8.7 |
+1.6 |
+7.1 |
+9.2 |
$7.44 |
$1.10 |
So if you want to base an MVP vote on just the regular season like the NBA actually does, then LeBron James has edged out Kobe Bryant for top honors, with leading "Roland Rating" player Dwyane Wade finishing third.
Now we like to calculate these things separately for each team a player appears with, but for the notable "two team" guys this season, here are some combined earnings:
Szczerbiak (Min+Bos) -- $9.25 Million
Artest (Ind+Sac) -- $8.46
Ricky Davis (Bos+Min) -- $7.70
Peja Stojakovic (Sac+Ind) -- $7.59
...so Wally Szczerbiak actually ranks #49 on the season. We'd push Artest up on subjective rankings as while his "individual production" wasn't phenomenal, his team influence certainly was for Sacramento! Moreover he missed a lot of playing time waiting for the trade, so could easily leap into the top 30 or higher with a "no incident" full season.
Part of the benefits of these ratings is you can now evaluate which players are good and bad values based on their "earned salary" minus their "actual salary" --
Best Values
1. LeBron James (+$24 Million! = $28.8 fair minus $4.6 actual)
2. Dwyane Wade
3. Tayshaun Prince
4. Chauncey Billups
5. Chris Bosh
6. Boris Diaw
7. Kobe Bryant
8. Carmelo Anthony
9. Andre Iguodala
10. Nenad Krstic
11. Elton Brand
12. Yao Ming
13. Chris Paul
14. Josh Howard
15. Michael Redd
16. Luol Deng
17. Ben Wallace
18. Dirk Nowitzki
19. Delonte West
20. Richard Jefferson
21. Dwight Howard
22. Alonzo Mourning
23. Mike James
24. Steve Nash
25. Gilbert Arenas
...you've got to love those rookie contracts if you can find a superstar in the draft!
Worst Values
503. Chris Webber
504. Jalen Rose
505. Tim Thomas
505. Antonio Davis
506. Grant Hill
507. Keith Van Horn
508. Anfernee Hardaway (minus $15.62 Million)
...which isn't to say these "worst value" guys are bad players, just that they didn't have the kind of seasons that would justify their -gulp- hefty contracts!
Now the ratings as they stand are based entirely on actual production, so no value is awarded to players for being "good in practice" or offering "veteran leadership" or even representing insurance policies in case a key player goes down with injury...all of which can certainly justify a certain "bonus" in deserved salary. Likewise players suffering injuries are usually not to blame for such misfortune, but they can't earn dollars in this scheme when they are missing time.
In the offseason we will be doing significant development work to make these ratings even better!
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